Hollow-fibre system model of tuberculosis reproducibility and performance specifications for best practice in drug and combination therapy development

Background The hollow-fibre system model of tuberculosis (HFS-TB) has been endorsed by regulators; however, application of HFS-TB requires a thorough understanding of intra- and inter-team variability, statistical power and quality controls. Methods Three teams evaluated regimens matching those in the Rapid Evaluation of Moxifloxacin in Tuberculosis (REMoxTB) study, plus two high-dose rifampicin/pyrazinamide/moxifloxacin regimens, administered daily for up to 28 or 56 days against Mycobacterium tuberculosis (Mtb) under log-phase growth, intracellular growth or semidormant growth under acidic conditions. Target inoculum and pharmacokinetic parameters were pre-specified, and the accuracy and bias at achieving these calculated using percent coefficient of variation (%CV) at each sampling point and two-way analysis of variance (ANOVA). Results A total of 10 530 individual drug concentrations, and 1026 individual cfu counts were measured. The accuracy in achieving intended inoculum was >98%, and >88% for pharmacokinetic exposures. The 95% CI for the bias crossed zero in all cases. ANOVA revealed that the team effect accounted for 20% difference in slope, with a power of >99%. Conclusions HFS-TB is a highly tractable tool for choosing combination regimens with little variability between teams, and between replicates.