Distinct serum metabolic profiles with supportive diagnostic value in differentiating tuberculosis and Mycobacterium avium complex pulmonary disease

Background Pulmonary infectious diseases caused by Mycobacterium species, including Mycobacterium tuberculosis and Mycobacterium avium complex (MAC), remain significant public health threats. However, current gold-standard diagnostics are time-consuming and have limited ability to differentiate these clinically similar presentations. This study investigated serum metabolic distinctions between tuberculosis (TB) and MAC pulmonary disease (MAC-PD) to identify biomarkers with supportive diagnostic value for differential diagnosis. Methods We performed LC/MS-based metabolic profiling of 181 serum samples from TB and MAC-PD patients. The study cohort was subsequently divided into a training set (TB, n = 30; MAC-PD, n = 30) and a validation set (TB, n = 51; MAC-PD, n = 70). Results Five key metabolites were identified, including four sphingoid base lipids that were decreased in TB compared with MAC-PD, and 2-hydroxyglutaric acid (2-HG), which was increased. Logistic regression using this five-metabolite panel achieved strong discriminatory performance, with an area under the curve of 0.988 (95 % CI: 0.970-1.000) in the training set and 0.997 (95 % CI: 0.991-1.000) in the validation set. Consistent performance across multiple machine learning models reinforces the stability and supportive diagnostic value of the five-metabolite panel. Conclusions This study provides a novel approach for the differential diagnosis of two major mycobacterial pulmonary diseases. The identified metabolites, particularly alterations in sphingoid base lipids and 2-HG, demonstrated robust discriminative potential. These findings support their potential role as biomarkers in clinical practice, enabling earlier and more accurate differentiation of TB and MAC-PD.