TB Research

Dynamics and optimal control for tuberculosis transmission via a data-validated periodic model

Chenkai Guo, Peng Wu

Infectious Disease Modelling · 2025-09

Abstract

= 1.18, which indicates that tuberculosis in mainland China is of low endemicity. Sensitivity analysis tells us that the adolescent group has a significant impact on the transmission of tuberculosis and is an indispensable force. Furthermore, we constructed a tuberculosis transmission control model and proposed four optimal control strategies, calculated the strategy-related benefits (ACER) and the incremental benefits between strategies (ICER), and further provided targeted recommendations for controlling tuberculosis transmission among different groups.

MeSH terms

  • Tuberculosis
  • Basic reproduction number
  • Transmission (telecommunications)
  • Mainland China
  • Stability (learning theory)
  • Incidence (geometry)
  • Mathematics
  • Epidemic model
  • China mainland
  • Mainland
  • Control theory (sociology)
  • Optimal control
  • Computer science
  • China
  • Control (management)
  • Statistics
  • Reproduction
  • Mathematical optimization