Country-wide genotyping of Mycobacterium tuberculosis complex in Singapore, 2011-2017

Objective To describe the molecular epidemiology of Mycobacterium tuberculosis complex (MTBC) and factors associated with its transmission in Singapore. Methods Spoligotyping, 24-loci mycobacterial interspersed repetitive units - variable number of tandem repeats (MIRU-VNTR) typing and demographic data from the national TB notification registry of MTBC culture-positive cases notified from January 2011 to December 2017 were analysed. Results Of the 12,046 culture-positive cases notified, complete spoligotyping and MIRU-VNTR typing results were available for 8690 (72.1%) belonging to 4950 (57.0%) local-born and 3740 (43.0%) foreign-born persons. From these, 4810 (55.3%) were identified in 883 clusters. The proportion of recent transmission was 45.2%. The East-Asian Lineage 2 accounted for 4045 (47.1%) of isolates, and disproportionately accounted for large clusters. Clustered cases were more likely to be older than 50 years, male, Malay, local-born, Singapore citizens or Permanent Residents, of lower socioeconomic status, imprisoned; to harbour East-Asian Lineage 2 strain; to have cavitary pulmonary TB, positive sputum smear or be recalcitrant treatment defaulters. They were less likely to have multidrug-resistant, or isoniazid or rifampicin mono-resistant TB. Conclusion We demonstrated the diversity of MTBC strains and, notwithstanding the likely over-estimation of clustering using these genotyping methods, elucidated factors associated with TB transmission in Singapore.